New Polls Offering Conflicting Reports On Presidential Race


President Obama and presumptive GOP nominee Mitt Romney are in a dead heat--or, the president leads the former Massachusetts governor by nine points.

Two national polls released this week paint somewhat contradictory pictures of the presidential race.

A CBS/New York Times poll, released Wednesday, shows Obama and Romney tied with 46 percent of support from registered voters. In breaking down its numbers, the poll shows Romney facing a likeability problem and a definite gender gap, particularly among single women, who support Obama 62 percent to 34 percent.

But based on the CBS/NYT poll, it's not all smooth sailing for the president, who while earning high points on the so-called "beer test"--the candidate who seems more relatable--the country remains split on how well Obama has done his job, with 45 percent of responders viewing him unfavorably. The president does have a higher favorable rating than Romney--42 percent versus 29 percent--but the poll suggests he still has a long ways to go in winning people over for the general election.

The CNN/ORC International poll, released Monday, gives Obama a 9 point lead over Romney. Fifty-two percent of responders say they would vote for the president if the election were held now, 43 percent say they would vote for Romney. Like the CBS/NYT poll, the CNN/ORC poll shows a sizable gender gap, with an 18-point advantage for Obama among women.

The poll also indicates a generation gap among voters, with voters over 65 favoring Romney, younger voters preferring Obama.

The poll, like the CBS/NYT poll, gave Obama a significant advantage with voters when it comes to likability--but found among right-leaning voters, roughly two-thirds said their vote would be a vote against Obama rather than a vote for Romney. Though underscoring the difficulty Romney is having connecting with the conservative base, political experts say that even among partisan voters, that's a significant amount of anti-incumbent sentiment.

The CNN/ORC poll had 1,015 responders, while the CBS/NYT poll had 957 responders.

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  • by Al on Apr 24, 2012 at 12:21 AM
    I don't care for Romney but will cast my vote supporting him this November. Obama is a total disappointment. I didn't vote for him but he is worse than expected.
  • by bron on Apr 19, 2012 at 10:11 AM
    Romney wouldn't be my first choice...or even in my top 10, but I'm certain anyone would be better than what we have now.
  • by Terrible Ted on Apr 19, 2012 at 08:55 AM
    The Nuge is takin' the prez out, or goin' down in a hail of bullets! Polls are moot! The GOP is insane! Guns before brains! Vote for us!!!!!
  • by sam Location: cs on Apr 19, 2012 at 08:11 AM
    Romney I can handle; lesser of 2 evils. Had bad vibes for big O since 2008..and they've come true. Can't believe the rhetoric of 'women/moms love obama'. There are too many of them, & men, struggling with high gas prices; high grocery prices, and can see our freedoms disappearing. If O gets another term: Internet shutdowns/more monitoring; higher prices on everything; more bankruptcies/foreclosures; bigger government/IRS agents (4,000 out of 14,000 already hired); 2nd Amendment eliminated; Supreme Court stacked with liberals, so it's always 7/2; another round of 'Health' care, if this one fais, which the way he's acting, he'd probly already been tipped off it has; more business failures from all the taxes & regulations; more TSA monitoring of our freedoms..busses, cars, trains, wheelchairs & casts, etc...get my drift? We really need to get someone else in there, even though it might already be a 'closed' vote. Remember in November, our childrens' & grandchildrens' futures of whether they'll even be able to afford a house or anything, depends on us this year!!
  • by Bill Location: CS on Apr 19, 2012 at 08:04 AM
    Doesn't matter who is in he lead, either way we are still screwed!
  • by Bob Location: California on Apr 19, 2012 at 08:04 AM
    The media likes to project a close race for the excitement of readers interest. I can't believe a real poll would project Rommey as a winner. He has so many negatives that in the end the people will reject him.
  • by Nath Location: Colo Spgs on Apr 19, 2012 at 07:53 AM
    Polls are as slanted as those who supposedly take them and used to sway voters who don't think for themselves. Add to that fact the spector of election fraud, which is more rampant than we are allowed to know and that's how we keep getting the kind of change from both major parties we don't want. Dem or GOP, we still march straight toward the New World Order with the Constitutionally limited government slipping further under the dust. Think the GOP isn't as dirty as the Democrats in selecting the establishments choice of who we "get" to vote for? Think again. Wonder who is contributing the tens of millions to Obama's re-election campaign? I too wonder, but a few answers are unions, multi-national corporations, and yes, you and I as taxpayers who foot the millions of dollars bill for Obama's travel expenses and protection while out campaigning. Then, there is the election results tabulations which always have problems and maybe more so this coming November.
  • by Bob Location: Black Forest on Apr 19, 2012 at 07:33 AM
    And Gallup - which is conveniently not mentioned even though iut is historically more reliable - shows Romney leading Obummer by 5 points. Of course the WH attacked the messenger (Gallup) but had no problem touting Gallup when it showed the annointed one leading.
  • by Colorado Location: C/S on Apr 19, 2012 at 07:12 AM
    CBS and CNN we need to say anything more?
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