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Snowy February & What About The Spring?

Out of all the months of the year, Feburary is the second driest month for Southern Colorado. However, this February has been a nice surprise for MOST of the area...check it out.


Colorado Springs: Has tallied 10.6" of snow for the month. Heaviest snow occurred on February 20th, when 7.3" of snow fell. That was a brand new record for that date. That brings us to 20.1 for the season, which is still almost 4" below normal.


Pueblo: Has tallied 5.3" of snow for the month. Heaviest snow occurred on February 20th and February 24th, when roughly 2" of snow fell both days. That brings us to 14.7" for the season, which is still 7" below normal. Clearly not doing as well as the northern neighbors, and sadly is a theme for most of the Arkansas Valley.


Denver: Has tallied 14.1" of snow for the month. Heaviest snow occurred on February 24th, when 9.1" of snow fell. That brings us to just over 30" for the season, which is still 4" below normal. Locations along and north of I-70 have done better with the recent shift in the storm track. The key is keeping this shift going...


Two things bug me about how we received this moisture 1) It wasn't nearly enough over a widespread area, and 2) We got it in February. We needed this in March...


The Drought Monitor shows we still have a long way to go, to end the drought. As I indicated earlier, most of the Southeast Plains have struggled to receive moisture this month. Basically wasting a golden opportunity to get some much needed moisture...



So will the active and beneficially placed storm track continue? Not in the near term. We are going to dry out and warm up as we head into March. Here is what the Climate Prediction Center thinks about temperature for March:



There is still plenty of cold air up to our north, so I am not sold on the southeast 2/3 of the country being much above normal, as the map suggests. Still think some cold spells are possible...


Precipitation:



The above map is the one that I hope is wrong. However, the recent storm track shift and intensification is about to end. The oscillation phases that have produced our active weather (active Madden Julian Oscillation, postive Pacific North American Oscillation, negative Arctic Oscillation and negative North Atlantic Oscillation) are going to become less conducive to Colorado receiving moisture. So, this dry forecast is likely pretty accurate...


Temperature March-May:



Precipitation March-May:



Again, based on global oscillation phase and ongoing drought, above normal temperatures and below normal precipitation looks to continue through spring. Hope I am wrong, but I will keep you posted.


Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe

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