Storm Post-Mortem: March 7th Storm

Pros for the storm: 1. Moisture 2. Favorable Track Cons for the storm: 1. Fast Moving 2. Meager Upslope 3. Storm Not Organized 4. No good front to provide sustained and good lift. This is essential for the production of heavy snowfall. For the reasons above, I went well below what the computer models were suggesting for total snowfall. However, I was even too high with amounts. The one to four inches I had forecasted for CO Springs and surrounding areas, only amounted to about an inch. Areas to the southwest of Pueblo did pretty well. Amounts ranged between 3 and 6 inches, but still a bit less than I had thought. Snowfall forecasting is tough enough in Colorado, without trying to figure out how much snow to leave out of the forecast. Like I said, the majority of the computer models were suggesting a good snow. However for the reasons that I listed in the Cons category, I shaved amounts. Oh yeah and one more thing... We are in a drought. The pattern simply does not suggest big storms for our area. I factored that in as well. I have said it once and I will say it again, if we get through this spring without a catastrophic wildfire, I will be amazed... Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe
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  • by Ed Location: Red Flag springs, CO on Mar 22, 2011 at 04:45 AM
    Does La Nina show any signs at all of letting up? This has to be the worst La Nina I've ever seen here. I can't remember seeing it this dry here before. No relief in sight as far as I can tell, either. I've already given up on the winter - we're at 8.9 inches. Still don't think we'll make it over 10 inches of snow this season. ON to spring and summer - how does it look as far as precip? I won't even ask about temps - I have no doubt they'll be higher than normal.
  • by Brian Location: Weather Center on Mar 14, 2011 at 12:23 PM
    Yes, that's right Glenda...
  • by Glenda Location: Beulah, CO on Mar 14, 2011 at 07:34 AM
    I believe you are referring to a "post mortem" which is information collected after death or an autopsy
  • by my.02 on Mar 14, 2011 at 07:21 AM
    Brian, how's the summer looking for rain? Trying to plan our garden, and there are just somethings that dont do well unless we get rain. Thanks
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