Pros for the storm:
2. Favorable Track
Cons for the storm:
1. Fast Moving
2. Meager Upslope
3. Storm Not Organized
4. No good front to provide sustained and good lift. This is essential for the production of heavy snowfall.
For the reasons above, I went well below what the computer models were suggesting for total snowfall. However, I was even too high with amounts. The one to four inches I had forecasted for CO Springs and surrounding areas, only amounted to about an inch. Areas to the southwest of Pueblo did pretty well. Amounts ranged between 3 and 6 inches, but still a bit less than I had thought.
Snowfall forecasting is tough enough in Colorado, without trying to figure out how much snow to leave out of the forecast. Like I said, the majority of the computer models were suggesting a good snow. However for the reasons that I listed in the Cons category, I shaved amounts. Oh yeah and one more thing... We are in a drought. The pattern simply does not suggest big storms for our area. I factored that in as well.
I have said it once and I will say it again, if we get through this spring without a catastrophic wildfire, I will be amazed...
Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe
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