November 14th, 2009: 8pm Update

Overall, not much has changed with the evolution of this storm.  The one thing that has been interesting, is the precip that was going to be snow has come as light rain and sleet.  Temperatures were a little warmer than progged.  Since it hasn't come as snow, I will likely shave an inch off of my accumulation totals for the Colorado Springs area.  Most of the model projections give Colorado Springs about 2 to 5 inches of snow, with the higher totals likely falling on the north side ( per usual ).  Latest models also hit the Southeast Plains a little harder than before.  Anyone who sees the snowfall projections should keep the range in mind... 

General Thoughts:  Gut has never really felt good about this storm, due to it's speed and direction of movement.  Models have had a rather tough time agreeing on track and timing.  Now, most models are pretty similar.  Little wobbles with these things have huge implications as far as the forecast goes.  Doesn't take me to tell you that, but it certainly is true...  Storm takes a favorable track, but speeds through our area pretty quickly, before slowing way down just to our east.  Like we've been saying, this won't be a huge storm for Southern Colorado.  However, it will likely cause a few travel problems on Sunday and Sunday night.  See you at 10pm.

Brian

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