November 12th, 2009: Weekend Storm Thoughts...

After having an additional day to look at new computer model information and try to figure out Saturday night and Sunday, we really aren't much further along than we were yesterday.  Below are the EURO Models graphics, depicting where the upper low will go with this storm:

Saturday Morning Position:

Sunday Morning Position:

Monday Morning Position:

You can see that the storm takes a pretty ideal track.  Anytime the upper low tracks through northern New Mexico, we are usually in for a storm.  However, it does have some problems.  Via the models, the large scale lift associated with this storm isn't terribly impressive.  In order to get snow going and keep it going, you need good lift in the atmosphere.  Some lift is present, but due to it not being over a long period of time and the fast moving nature of the storm, this doesn't look to be a huge storm.  That being said, I do think some areas will see some heavy snow.  Tough to say where right now though.  Something to consider about this storm...  The strong north wind that develops so many times with storms around here, may not materialize.  That north wind usually kills the snow making process from Colorado Springs to Pueblo.  With this storm, it appears that Colorado Springs and Pueblo could actually get a little snow.  At any rate, be prepared for a potentially wintry Sunday.  We'll know more as we get closer to the weekend.

Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe

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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by Brian Location: Weather Center on Nov 13, 2009 at 01:46 PM
    Guys, I will have a new blog post tonight with the latest info. When you don't see much of an update to the forecast, it means that it hasn't changed. In the meantime, check out the homepage, as it has the latest forecast posted there.
  • by Ed Location: Widefield on Nov 13, 2009 at 01:32 PM
    2:30 p.m. still no update from this morning's forecast. "Be sure to check back frequently, as we'll continue to fine-tune the forecast." Well, I've checked back frequently and, uh....nada.
  • by Ed Location: Widefield on Nov 13, 2009 at 01:11 PM
    What do the weather dudes do all day? They update the forecast what every 8 hours or so and even then it barely changes. Yet we keep hearing to stay tuned to the kktv wether for the latest. okay.
  • by Jeannine Location: Colorado Springs on Nov 13, 2009 at 12:53 PM
    Any new updates yet, it is the weekend and if there is a storm coming, it will start tomorrow night, so what is the deal, are we going to get snow or not.
  • by Ed Location: Widefield on Nov 13, 2009 at 09:32 AM
    It looks like the forecast for this morning is just copied and pasted from yesterday evening. I realize it probably didn't change much, but at least reword it or something.
  • by Bob Location: South of Flagler on Nov 13, 2009 at 04:44 AM
    Thanks for the Heads up. We will start taking percautions concerning livestock.
  • by Al Location: Security-Widefield on Nov 12, 2009 at 09:06 PM
    I will believe it when I when I have to shovel it. Note I said shovel and not sweep as in with a broom.
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