After having an additional day to look at new computer model information and try to figure out Saturday night and Sunday, we really aren't much further along than we were yesterday. Below are the EURO Models graphics, depicting where the upper low will go with this storm:
Saturday Morning Position:
Sunday Morning Position:
Monday Morning Position:
You can see that the storm takes a pretty ideal track. Anytime the upper low tracks through northern New Mexico, we are usually in for a storm. However, it does have some problems. Via the models, the large scale lift associated with this storm isn't terribly impressive. In order to get snow going and keep it going, you need good lift in the atmosphere. Some lift is present, but due to it not being over a long period of time and the fast moving nature of the storm, this doesn't look to be a huge storm. That being said, I do think some areas will see some heavy snow. Tough to say where right now though. Something to consider about this storm... The strong north wind that develops so many times with storms around here, may not materialize. That north wind usually kills the snow making process from Colorado Springs to Pueblo. With this storm, it appears that Colorado Springs and Pueblo could actually get a little snow. At any rate, be prepared for a potentially wintry Sunday. We'll know more as we get closer to the weekend.
Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe