After dealing with La Nina for the past few years, and the occasional drought the goes along with it, I am happy to talk about El Nino. For those of you that aren't familiar with La Nina or El Nino, here is a good source of info: http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensocycle/enso_cycle.shtml Pretty much all you need to know is La Nina favors drought conditions for Colorado and El Nino favors wetter than normal conditions.
Below is the Sea Surface Temperatures Anomaly graphic:
Notice the warmer than normal water off the west coast of South America. That is a sign that El Nino is developing and likely going to strengthen. The graphic below is a forecast for how strong this El Nino will get:
If it materializes like I think it will, we will likely see above normal moisture for the rest of the Summer and Fall. Early Winter could also be quite stormy, before a lull, then we should have an active Spring. Either way, the prospects of drought returning do not look good in the near future. Boy, we haven't been able to say that for quite some time...
Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe
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