April 4th, 2009 Storm Potential

Our weekend storm is still on its way, but the track is still a bit uncertain.  Our latest computer models are tracking the core of the upper low directly over the state of Colorado.  That is a less than ideal track for significant snow production in Southern Colorado.  The last two storms that have moved through and produced nasty weather for us, have dropped through north-central New Mexico.  This track puts us on the northern side of the storm, and puts in a favorable spot to see significant snow.  The way the Saturday storm is tracking, it looks to move through a bit too far to the north to do much.  That being said, I think the northern Front Range may deal with heavy snow and wind.  That would mean tough travel from Castle Rock to Cheyenne and to the northeast.  I have displayed different computer model projections below, as they do have some subtle differences:  Check it out...

GFS Upper Low Position Saturday Morning:

Upper Low Position Saturday Noon:

 

Upper Low Position Saturday Evening:

Upper Low Position Sunday Morning:

NAM-WRF Upper Low Track:

Upper Low Position Saturday Morning:

 

Upper Low Position Saturday Noon:

 

Upper Low Position Saturday Evening:

 

Upper Low Position Sunday Morning:

 

EURO Upper Low Track:

Upper Low Position Friday Evening:

 

 

Upper Low Position Saturday Evening: 

 

With the above tracks of the NAM-WFR, GFS, and EURO all in pretty good agreement in taking the upper low right over the top of us, I have a decent amount of confidence that the worst of the storm will go north of Southern Colorado.  The Palmer Divide may be right on the southern edge of the worst weather, and that is what we are struggling with right now.  Snow and strong wind could cause blizzard conditions to develop across the northern third of the state on Saturday.  Bottomline...if you have travel planned in the mountains, to Denver or north-northeast of Denver, be prepared for hazardous travel conditions.  I will provide updates on the situation as new information arrives.

Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe

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Comments are posted from viewers like you and do not always reflect the views of this station.
  • by Chris Location: Flagler on Apr 5, 2009 at 01:45 PM
    With all of the recent moisture that has come through CO, are you expecting La Nina to still play a significant role of Eastern CO having a drought this spring, or are you expecting a normal spring.
  • by matthew Location: colorado springs co on Apr 4, 2009 at 03:23 PM
    is it going to snow
  • by Anon. Location: Colorado Springs on Apr 3, 2009 at 06:39 PM
    So is this snow hitting the Springs or no? the 7 day planner changed I see...
  • by Ryan Location: Monument on Apr 3, 2009 at 06:31 AM
    let this one come please let it come cause I am tired of snow in the spring and I want it to just get it over with it when we go into lightning season oh and by the way I get tired of lightning season to it is definetly global warming's fault for sure
  • by jon Location: S. G. / stratonmeadows on Apr 2, 2009 at 07:39 PM
    here we go again another wind tunnel session, so much of this & i feel like i should get some very high airline milage credits, without the use of airplanes as these wind tunnel storms, i think makes me feel like i am an airplane to fly away, at least it be cheap freebies i guess, Wen nigh snow = 1.25 inch with a whopping huge .09 inch of precipt. have new catcus ready to go in my garden/ actually very nice selections, feel free to visit my garden at 2023 S. Corona Av. for good ideas in garden . jon
  • by Donna Location: Colorado Springs on Apr 2, 2009 at 07:25 PM
    I have been freaking out all week about the Saturday storm. I have tickets to the Elton John concert for Saturday night and I'm afraid that the roads and the weather will mess EVERYTHING up! I need some reassurance......please!
  • by Melissa Location: Co. Spgs. on Apr 2, 2009 at 04:23 AM
    any updates on the track of this storm now? I'm hoping for not so much snow for this Saturday...
  • by jon Location: S.G./ stratonmeadows on Apr 1, 2009 at 09:34 PM
    You are right Julio, the 80's & 90's ( although there were some north winds ), the north winds did NOT accompany all the storms, allowing us to have seen then some decent dumps, most unlike the post 97- 98 season, Mar of 98 is last time i observed a double digit snowfall & i observed that at North Circle Dr at Maizeland Rd. i have no idea what this snow restricted place i am now located use to get then. Surely even here there must have been some decent snows here during those years.. but just like when one gets into being old, you never again see or experience being in the 30's & 40's age ever again, i think so goes it with the snows, the 2000's semms to equate with never more than 3 - 4 inches maximum here... jon
  • by Julio Location: 80907 on Apr 1, 2009 at 11:40 AM
    So weather dudes (Branden/Brian)does it look like La Nina is subsiding somewhat with all the potential snow activity? Or is it just taking a break now?
  • by Sarah Location: Springs on Apr 1, 2009 at 07:58 AM
    I am curious to see how much we get, if any! This looks like it can go anywhere! :)
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