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April 1st, 2009 Storm Potential

Our weather pattern has turned quite active and will remain that way all this week.  The first storm on the docket is on Wednesday.  This storm will take a similar track as the blizzard of last week.  However, this storm will be moving faster and will not have time to wrap up like the last one did.  That being said, it has the potential to cause some problems on Wednesday afternoon and evening.  Our computer models have been very consistent with the track and intensity of the Wednesday system and continue to bullseye the Wets, Sangres and Southern I-25 Corridor for accumulating snow.  In fact, the favored snowbelts of southwest Pueblo County would likely receive several inches of heavy wet snow.  One of my favorite computer models this time of year is the UKMET and I have its maps posted below:

Upper Low Position Wednesday Evening:

Upper Low Position Thursday Morning:

Notice that this storm is a fast moving one, and moves from Salt Lake City to Dallas in 24 hours.  However, the track is a favorable one for producing precipitation ( snow ) for most of Southern Colorado.  Here are the precipitation forecast maps from the UKMET: ( Keep in mind, that the liquid total displayed is for the previous 12 hours and not what is occurring at that particular time )

Precipitation Forecast from 6am Wednesday - 6pm Wednesday:

Precipitation Forecast from 6pm Wednesday - 6am Thursday:

Basically, the UKMET is saying that we will receive all of our snow during the day on Wednesday and early Wednesday evening.  On Wednesday night, the main focus for precipitation shifts to our east.  Notice that this storm doesn't hit the Southeast Plains quite as hard as the one from last week.  It hits the I-25 Corridor and adjacent areas pretty good, then gets out of here.  If this is reality, then I would expect Wednesday afternoon and early evening to be kind of nasty with snow and blowing snow from Monument to Trinidad.  In addition to the western part of the area getting hit with snow,  the Southeast Plains may see some pretty rough conditions Wednesday night, as the storm wraps up to our east. 

After this storm, a much more significant storm is possible by the weekend.  Check out my other blog post for more information on that one.

Chief Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe

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